Jim Hendler, Tetherless World professor, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, responded, “Just as we were taught ‘Don’t believe everything you read in the paper,’ the next generations are already learning to take social media with a grain of salt. Positive change will only happen if users, consumers, buyers, voters insist on it. But at the end of the decade, humans will still be humans, and both greed and generosity, love and hate, truth and lies, will likely still exist in the same proportions as they do today.”
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And how to pay for it all? If it is subscriber-paid, then only the wealthy will be able to afford it. Resisting the temptation to exploit all that data will be extremely hard. Proving that to a jaded public will be a challenge. Sam Adams, a 24-year veteran of IBM now working as a senior research scientist in artificial intelligence for RTI International, architecting national-scale knowledge graphs for global good, said, “I do expect new social platforms to emerge that focus on privacy and ‘fake-free’ information, or at least they will claim to be so. Some expect serious efforts to break up such firms, and some predict the rise of new platforms designed to make their users’ best interests paramount. Some say there will be a reckoning for technology companies and their leaders that might produce major revisions to their platforms. Social media: Experts see a reckoning coming for social platform companies and leaders that will lead to large-scale changesĪ portion of the experts in this canvassing suggest there will be changes in the overall environment of social media during the next decade. It includes comments made by an array of respondents, regardless of their responses to our main question about the impact of technology on innovation by 2030.
This chapter covers some of the key open-ended answers they offered, organized in 10 broad themes. Experts who were canvassed about the relationship between people’s technology use and democracy also expressed serious concerns about how things will unfold in the next decade.Īt the same time, the experts responding to questions about civic and social innovations also foresee scores of innovations between now and 2030 that they think might ease some problems. Americans and many around the world are not terribly satisfied with the state of democracy and the institutions that undergird it.